Erfaren professor tror att Trump vinner valet med 87% säkerhet

Professor with Remarkable Track Record Predicts a Trump Election Win

Oct 22, 2016 // 12:06pm


Saturday on Fox & Friends, Tucker Carlson sat down with a college professor with a remarkable record of predicting election outcomes.

Professor Helmut Norpoth, from Stony Brook University in New York State, has correctly predicted the outcomes of the last five presidential elections.

This year, he steadfastly believes Donald Trump will win the election.

Norpoth said he uses two ”models” to make his prediction:

One is the ”primary” model, where he compares a candidate’s strength in their respective primaries.

”The candidate who does better in his party’s primary beats the other guy who does less well,” Norpoth said.

Looking at New Hampshire and South Carolina’s primaries, Norpoth projected that Trump would be the general election favorite because of the strength of his showing, versus Hillary Clinton.

The second model he created is called the ”swing of the pendulum” model.

Watch the full clip above to find out how he compared Trump and Clinton in that way, and let us know what you think in the comments.

Det här inlägget postades i USA. Bokmärk permalänken.

Kommentera

Fyll i dina uppgifter nedan eller klicka på en ikon för att logga in:

WordPress.com Logo

Du kommenterar med ditt WordPress.com-konto. Logga ut / Ändra )

Twitter-bild

Du kommenterar med ditt Twitter-konto. Logga ut / Ändra )

Facebook-foto

Du kommenterar med ditt Facebook-konto. Logga ut / Ändra )

Google+ photo

Du kommenterar med ditt Google+-konto. Logga ut / Ändra )

Ansluter till %s

%d bloggare gillar detta: